Timid Tim said yesterday (ht Mish) that the Treasury would wait until next year to make any suggestions about a change to bank capital requirements:

“We’re not going to set the number now because the world is a little fragile; people aren’t willing to take enough risk now, and we don’t want to do anything that would push people to delever,” Geithner said to Fox News Sunday anchor Chris Wallace at an event in Washington hosted by the Atlantic magazine in partnership with the Aspen Institute and the Newseum. “We’ll have the agreement on the numbers, but it won’t happen until next year; in the absence of fragility.”

“we don’t want to do anything that would push people to delever”… that is the greatest fear of the government: that the aggregate level of debt will fall and with it, the general price level. They will do anything to prevent it.  Should we believe they have such power? For example, can government helicopters raining money from the sky really prevent it?  What-if the recipients of this “manna from heaven” pay their existing debts off with their new-found windfall? Will offsetting a shrinking private debt level with government debt prevent it? Or, just raise the probability of default of one obligor or the other (or both)? Somehow, we have come to place way too much faith in the ability of the same government institutions that got us into this mess…

More on this topic (What's this?)
A town hall meeting with Tim Geithner
More Pain Ahead for US Banks
Karl Denninger, uberman
Stocks Slip on Banking Concerns
Read more on Tim, Timothy Geithner, Banking at Wikinvest

One Comment on “We don’t want people to delever”

  • Stock Trader says:

    The problem is that the debt needs to increase exponentially to sustain the GDP growth. That is NOT going to happen. When GDP growth stops, that scares people and businesses. They stop investing, they start saving, they start paying off debt. Deflation feeds on itself. It is a healthy thing. Government should stop trying to avoid the depression. Entire nation borrowed non-stop for the last 50 years. They inflated the money supply. (What a sucker monetary system, eh?) What were they thinking? When the pay back time arrives, it is natural to have a depression. It is like death. When you get old, you die. It is part of the nature. There won’t be a painless way out of it. People should pay attention to how the government is shifting who bears the burden of the crash:

    http://www.tradingstocks.net/html/housing_market_bubble_bust_cyc.html

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