July 9, 2009 9:55 AM
The above is the AP’s headline. To be fair, AP acknowledges the number appears so good “largely due to changes in the timing of auto industry layoffs”. Another contributing factor – one which everyone seems to be ignoring – is that last week included a holiday. The numbers are supposed to be adjusted for the holiday, but, new claims are logically smaller during such holiday weeks. See our own analysis of Easter week unemployment.
More on this topic
(What's this?)
Initial Jobless Claims Rise Unexpectedly by 15,000
(naked capitalism, 6/25/09)
THOUGHTS ON THURSDAY’S DATA
(THE PRAGMATIC CAPITALIST, 6/25/09)
Jobless claims down, but still high
(The Mess That Greenspan Made, 3/4/10)
The End of the Recession: A New Indicator Predicts With Startling Accuracy
(Investment U, 5/26/09)
Leave a Comment
Additional comments powered by BackType







