July 9, 2009 9:55 AM
The above is the AP’s headline. To be fair, AP acknowledges the number appears so good “largely due to changes in the timing of auto industry layoffs”. Another contributing factor – one which everyone seems to be ignoring – is that last week included a holiday. The numbers are supposed to be adjusted for the holiday, but, new claims are logically smaller during such holiday weeks. See our own analysis of Easter week unemployment.
More on this topic
(What's this?)
Misleading jobless claims data and recessions
(The Mess That Greenspan Made, 5/6/09)
Surprise Jump in U.S. December Payrolls
(Wall Street Daily, 1/9/12)







